Like a good joke, the timing of Scotland’s next independence referendum is everything. Unlike a good joke, the consequences of Brexit are not funny in the slightest. The punchline will be delivered in March 2019 when the UK’s economy – already bedridden by Brexit – will go into full freefall. The penury that follows will touch us all, except the Tory elite of course.
They will continue to be well cosseted by their massive wealth and offshore tax havens – nothing of which is subject to EU jurisdiction. That depends on a transition deal which the EU may or may not give tenacious Theresa. Moggy would prefer the lunacy of a clean break; as a no parachute style cliff edge is Moggy’s dystopian dream.
I was of the view that we should have our independence referendum before March 2019, the date the UK officially leaves Europe. However, it is appearing somewhat likely that the jolly decent folks in the EU are going to grant poor old Blighty a two year transition period. This time could be used to hold the referendum while the Brexit debacle gets closer to full fruition. You see, I really want to win. If the choice is between sinking with England or grasping a lifeboat to a free Scotland then it is in our interests to let the Tory vision, their UK dystopian dream, unfurl more fully.
The decision made by Scotland was for the status quo, pointing to a future independent Scotland remaining in the EU. But the riskiest choice will be for us to stay in the UK. A two year transition period is set to do the pound incredible damage. What a shame that will be. Still, maybe kind Scotland will grant them a currency union and a trade deal.
If the choice is between sinking with England or grasping a lifeboat to a free Scotland then it is in our interests to let the Tory vision, their UK dystopian dream, unfurl more fully.
Maybe we won’t. For that, we would need to consult the other 27 EU members, and our 500 million friends in the world’s largest single market. Once we vote to leave the UK these countries can start to negotiate with a sovereign Scotland, and arguably we can take on UK membership as successor state. It is in the EU’s best interests to do precisely that during the (yet to be granted) two year transition phase. So there is no point in letting England trade away all Scotland’s fish (again) for London banking rights when Scotland is just going to up and leave and take all its geographical assets with it, is there? That would just be inefficient. Bureaucrats are nothing if efficient.
The more this Brexit mess continues, the more I feel we shouldn’t interrupt the Tories making all these mistakes. Dicky boy is another fine joke too, providing weekly giggles at FMQs when our Nicola tears him another new one. The SNP continues to surge in the polls, gaining confidence and status. We have a while yet to table our referendum. 2020 seems a nice round figure to me.
The Butterfly Rebellion